Hey hey, I can try to explain. I'll steer us back into the gentle conversational lane.
This is just ME talking :)
This is why I personally (no judgement zone here) would feel more comfortable with a vax only rule.
My perception of a person who's had a vaccine already (by sept 15th):
(1) believes in science
(2) believes in vaccines, and while not always perfect (in some cases less than 50% effective) is 'doing the best we can'
(3) believes the vaccine is protecting them, but maybe even protecting others as well.
(4) probably wears a mask in public becuase they feel like it's the right thing to do
(5) general mindset of 'ok this is serious, this is a problem, this is a pandemic, let's mask up, vaccine up, get this thing under control.
It's that TYPE of person that I personally perceive to be SAFE right now to hang out with. That type of person probably doesn't take chances, probably doesn't go to parties and get wasted with no mask, probably doesn't go to street protests, I'd imagine they're pretty safe and paranoid and embracing science to save themselves and others.
(again, no judgement here, every person has a complete right to whatever they want to do. SOMETIMES those people don't realize that it actually affects others too, that's not really the topic here so we'll leave alone for now).
Conversely, I live in Missouri. In the city (as a huge generalzation) I find that most people mask up and are getting vaxxed. If you drive out to the super rural areas, no one wears a mask, no one gets a vaccine. Those people (who are fantastic human beings im sure, no judgement here) are more apt to walk into a walmart with no mask (in fact, I had to drive 2 hours to get my vaccine to rural missuori so I witnessed no mask wearing except wal mart employees, point of reference)
Outside of a pandemic, I'd love to hang out with you. In a pandemic, I'd like to be a little more selective with my and my family's health.
To answer your specific question though superskull (which is fair and good and fine, great conversation at least):
I perceive that if I have fully vaccinnated, I perceive I have about a 5% of catching the virus (probably way more than that of CATCHING it, but agin my mental perception). and if I'm vaccinnated, a 5% chance again of any serious reprecutions. I would feel personalyl comfortable hanging out shoulder to shoulder on red carpet with Those People.
I would personally just NOT feel comfortable hanging out shoulder to shoulder on red carpet with the folks that don't believe in masks and aren't vaxxing up. *shrug* to me, it's not a difficult choice or preference. I perceive that if I hang out shoulder to shoulder with them ONE of them PROBABLY has or had covid, and if I get it, I'M probably fine, I may get a cough, but hopefully my vaccine lasts. Honestly not as worried about myself, as I'm shielded and fine. I just think it's irresonsible holding an event like that with all of those people. SURE they have a choice to come or not come. Do all people traditionally make great choices or do we need some guardrails once in a while. To me, it's like inviting everyone hold a candle at a fireworks convention. SURE its your choice, sure it's probably fine. People are generally smart. But I mean you're just CREATING an environment for explosion.
If we do our best to to control the controllable now, then we mitigate the risk and still have fun.
Someone commented way above about (sorry at work, not time to get to everything. Great discussion so far) future dates and do we always have to have these requirements. Nah, we're just talking about 2021. Flu has always been here and will always be here, we all get the efficacy and strains and all that. We're just talking about 2021 in a vaccum. we HAVE vaccines now. YAY. let's require them THIS year, let's all be safe and masked and vaxxed and have fun together this year. We'll worry about next year next year :)